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Market and Politics Report- End-October 2025

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  Market and Politics Report- End-October 2025  The end of October is upon us. Let's discuss some of the hottest topics in the recent news On Friday, October 24, the Bureau of Labor Statistics released its September inflation data, which the government shutdown had delayed. The inflation rate hit 3.0% in September, lower than expected, and rose 0.3% month over month. Core inflation also hit 3.0% in September, increasing 0.2% month-to-month. To mention, even during the government shutdown, the BLS released this data to give the Social Security Administration a benchmark for cost-of-living adjustments in benefit checks. Though the inflation report beat expectations, economists remain wary of the tariffs' implications, and now the government shutdown could affect the economy in the future. The 2025 election season is upon us. Some of the prominent elections include the New Jersey Governor's race, with Jack Ciatterelli(R) squaring up with Rep. Mikie Sherrill(D), the Virginia go...

Market and Politics Report- End-September 2025

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  Market and Politics Report- End-September 2025  What a busy end to September. From a government shutdown to shifting of the Fed's policy, there is a lot to debrief in this Market and Politics Report. On September 17, 2025, Fed Chair Powell announced that the Fed would lower interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point, bringing the interest rate down to 4.00%-4.25%. This was highly anticipated, as for months, many Republicans and fiscal conservatives have been urging Powell to lower rates, thereby increasing consumer spending and investment and spurring economic growth. Additionally, Republicans, led by President Trump, have called for Powell's ouster at the end of his term as Fed chair in 2026, likely prompting Powell to act. The Fed and Powell have been hesitant to do so, due to concerns about potential inflationary downsides. However, in response to increasing public outcry, as well as a shaky labor market and slowing inflation, the Fed acted accordingly. On Septembe...

Market and Politics Report- Mid-September 2025

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Market and Politics Report- Mid-September 2025  A surprisingly busy start to the month of September. From unfortunate news in politics to news on the upcoming Fed meeting, you won't want to miss this one. On September 10, 2025, a gunman shot and killed talk show host and political activist Charlie Kirk at Utah Valley University. Kirk had just begun another tour on the road for September when he was fatally shot. The gunman, identified as Tyler Robinson, faces multiple charges, with the most prominent one being aggravated murder. While the court proceedings get started, the nation is left to grieve over the loss of one of the most prolific and influential orators of this generation, and a significant force in conservative politics. Within the last week, news has arisen that the US and China are closing in on a trade deal, with a due date of November 2025. This comes as China likely wants to seek an end to President Trump's reciprocal tariffs. Since April 2, 2025, China has faced...

Market and Politics Report- End-August 2025

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Market and Politics Report- End-August 2025  In this article, we will discuss and debrief on the second half of August. From developments with the Fed to movements in markets, the end of August was packed with events to shape our near and distant future. From August 21-23, Fed Chair Jerome Powell, along with many economists from around the world, met at Jackson Hole in Wyoming to discuss the Labor Market, Macroeconomics, and other topics as well. The outcome of this annual meeting was that Powell acknowledged the slowing of the labor market and a generally lower inflation rate, prompting him to hint at a rate cut in the near future. This news boosted markets and likely eased tensions between the Trump Administration and Powell. Since Trump and Powell have clashed with the Fed's decisions regarding monetary policy, including keeping rates steady, a hint at a rate cut likely aligns with Trump's vision for the Fed's policy, thereby resolving the conflict between the two. It wi...

Market and Politics Report- Mid-August 2025

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  Market and Politics Report- Mid-August 2025  So far, we have seen lots of developments in the first half of August. From the Trump-Putin Summit in Alaska to movements in the market, there was a lot of news to take in. On Friday, August 15, President Trump and President Putin met in Anchorage, Alaska. They met to discuss the Russo-Ukrainian War, which has been raging for over three years. Mutual respect seemed present between the two as they discussed possible peace terms for when the war ends. The outcome of this meeting was that no deal was made, and President Trump shifted his goal to achieve lasting peace, rather than a quick ceasefire. During the meeting, map changes were proposed, with the most notable one coming from President Putin, who requested that Russia maintain its control of the Donbas region once the war ended. However, President Trump has not expressed interest in this proposal. We will have to follow the news for further developments on the war and future pe...

Market and Politics Report- End-July 2025

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  Market and Politics Report- End-July 2025  In this article, we will discuss the second half of July. From AI developments to developments in the market, the end of July was packed with info you do not want to miss. Through July, starting in the second half of the month, several key trade deals were finalized. Deals were made with the EU, Japan, South Korea, Indonesia, and Singapore. These trade deals were made in response to Trump's extension of the tariff deadline (from July 1 to August 1), announced on July 9. Basic details for each trade deal include lower tariffs for both parties, increased market access in foreign markets for the US, and an assertion of the American First foreign policy doctrine. All of these elements of the trade deals bolster the global economy, and allow the US to experience fair trade for the first time in nearly half a century. On July 23, the Trump Administration announced its AI Action Plan, an outline for the future of the US's AI development, a...

Market Report- July 2025

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Market and Politics Report- Mid-July 2025  The busy and prosperous month of July is now more than halfway done. Let's recap some of the latest developments (not in chronological order) throughout the first half of the month.  On July 4, President Trump signed the "One Big Beautiful Bill" into law. This bill ensures that Americans will experience a tax cut while also streamlining Medicaid and other government services. These elements of the bill will ensure economic success and prosperity, alongside proper monetary policy stemming from the Fed. The bill also allocates funds to ICE and for border security, to ensure that legal immigration and the law are upheld to the highest degree. On July 7, President Trump extended the July 9 deadline for certain tariffs on specific nations to August 1 via an executive order. This comes amid great success in markets, with indexes such as the S&P and the Dow at all-time highs. These successes in markets likely pushed President Trump ...